How many students will there be in 5 years, 10 years, 15 years?

Today's strategic choices are essential for the future of education, and the ability of individual countries to provide young people relevant training will be critical. Poor evaluation of needs can have serious consequences: unmanageable overstaffing, inaccessible formations, brain drain, or on the contrary over-sized equipments and empty universities!

PAXTER® NEXT 15 is based on a unique modeling of the current links between access to higher education and a country's economic development, to analyze global trends in higher education country by country, region by region, and plan The student enrollment over the next 15 years.

Numbers and questions

Between 2000 and 2015, the enrollment of higher education in the world doubled from 100 to 200 million students. This increase was mainly driven by the demographic and economic dynamism of Asia. Will this tremendous global growth continue as more and more countries have gone through the demographic transition? Where will the students of tomorrow be? Will they find the relevant institutions to train them? These issues are also in mind at national and continental levels.

For example: in Algeria today, 60 % of students are women. Does this access to higher education protect them from unemployment or are they in higher education because they do not have a job?

There will be 14 million young people aged 18 to 22 in Ethiopia in 2030 (they are already born). How many of them will be students? The number of young people in high learning age is expected to increase by 2.4 per cent per year in the Philippines by 2030. How many students are there ?

These are some questions PAXTER® NEXT 15 will help you answer.

Complete and comprehensive analysis

An exclusive Paxter Search

PAXTER® NEXT 15 is the result of intensive research works by two experts in statistics and higher education around the world. A correlation (correlation coefficient: 0.905) was established between the rate of access to tertiary education and economic development measured by GDP per capita and assessed in purchasing power parity (these data are available from reliable, national or international databases). This equation allows a projection of student enrollments over the next 15 years, using the prospective demographic and economic development figures published by different organizations.

By purchasing PAXTER® NEXT 15, you not only access the current figures on access to higher education and the analysis of our experts, but you can also plan yearly student enrollment.

Any decision-maker, advisor or planner should have access to reliable policy data, whether you work for government, international organizations, large or small enterprises, institutions of higher learning, research and professional training.

If your institution needs to design or improve a program portfolio, If you need to see its economic development potential in a particular geographical area. If your company wants to invest in a new country, if your territory is looking to boost its economy, PAXTER® NEXT 15 has been designed for you.

Global modeling, 76 countries under scope

The PAXTER® study covers 90% of the world's youth in 76 countries. The analysis of the current situation and the projections will allow you to have a prospective look at student enrollment and to identify the major trends in higher education in the next 15 years at the level of a country, one or several continents, or even the whole world.

Make your own projections

PAXTER® NEXT15years analyzes are based on data published by large national or international organizations, in free access. If you prefer to use other data, public or confidential, you simply enter your own data in our tables: PAXTER® algorithms are included in the spreadsheets, and you will generate your own modeling and graphics, taking advantage of PAXTER® research and methodology, by applying them to data that you consider relevant.

Access all Paxter data, analyzes and updates for 76 studied countries

At any time, the master acount can add or remove countries, add or remove collaborators

Inject your own data and create your own projections. You don't have to be a geek in statistics, Paxter algorithms will process your data with the same methodology as their own projections

Archive, comment and complete your projections

Choose up to 6 collaborators who can work with you online with Paxter Next15

Send your results by email to whomever you want

How does it work ?

For you, the simplest way in the world! Paxter NEXT15years has been designed for you to evolve and work quickly, at ease. Every section of your workspace is available in one click: access to country files, add or remove collaborators ... Everything has been designed so that you can enjoy Paxter algorithms and generate your own projections easily.

Once you have chosen to work on a country, you set up the number of years and the intervals on which you want to project. A currency converter is in addition available in direct link to save time.

Create my access



World 4 users

World 7 users

Intent & Methods
Student numbers
Student numbers forecast up to 15 years
Unemployment and youth unemployment
Dynamic forecast and Paxter Analyzes
Customized forecasts
Archiving and changing forecasts
Exporting by email created simulations (pdf)
Creation and management of coworking accounts
Collaborative work between users
1 free country
World Overview
Regional perspectives
Result comparison
Student numbers correlation with economic development (76 countries)
Worldwide cumulative forecasts + analyzes
Newsletter PAXTER NEXT15years
Start Start Start Start

They already trust Paxter